They sense a disturbance

If you follow one of the WoW token price trackers such as @WoWTokens on Twitter, you may have noticed a couple of things.

First of all, the WoW Token went on sale in Europe today ((Well, technically yesterday.)). It started at 35,000 gp and peaked at 45,000 gp before it started to taper off.

Seeing it peak at 45K, I mentioned in conversation how it was obvious that there was a surge that would probably repeat on a monthly cycle once things stabilized – people that bought the token and activated it today will no doubt need to buy a new one in 30 days or so. 

Having made that observation, I thought it might be a good idea to get my next token somewhere after 15 days had passed, when theoretically the prices for US tokens will bottom out.

They were 21K at the start of the day, but once the buying frenzy started on the EU servers, a curious thing happened.

US token prices started to inch up, at roughly the same time that the EU tokens went on sale.

What’s one got to do with the other? Well, here’s my theory.

The data suggests – but in no wise confirms – that US token buyers are seeing the EU price curve and drawing the same conclusions as I have, only they’re taking action now rather than waiting for another 10 or so days.  And so, the US prices are going up. We’re up to 22K from 21K after 14 hours.

I’m going to stick to my plan and wait to my halfway mark, and not buy until I see the first uptick after that. With over 2Mil gold in the bank, I don’t really need to be super-cautious in my purchasing decisions, but it could mean the difference between 10 years of free gaming, and 12.

Not sure what I’m looking at, but it’s kind of fun to poke at it to see what it does.

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Posted on April 21, 2015, in Cashey Money and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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